Seasonal Story


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2020 Heat Accumulation vs Rodent Prognostication

Sun, Feb 02, 2020

Punxsutawney Phil predicted an early spring this year! Our maps of heat accumulation provide a more scientific look at how much heat has accumulated so far this year, and what's next. Heat accumulation is ahead of schedule in the Southeast, Northeast, and parts of the West, and more typical in Midwest states.


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How typical was Spring 2019?

Wed, Mar 20, 2019

In places where spring has sprung, how how often have we seen a spring like this one? The USA-NPN's spring leaf out shines light on where leaf out of early season plants has occurred across the country. In the map, darker colors represent springs that are unusually early or late in the long-term record. Gray indicates an average spring.


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2019 Heat Accumulation vs Rodent Prognostication

Sat, Feb 02, 2019

Punxsutawney Phil predicts an early spring this year. Our map of accumulated growing degree days shows he may be right, for parts of the country anyway. See what Nature's Notebook observers are already reporting on plants and animals across the country.


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2018 Heat Accumulation vs Rodent Prognostication

Fri, Feb 02, 2018

Punxsutawney Phil predicts six more weeks of winter. We agree - if we're talking about the eastern US. The southeast especially has been cool so far this year.  In the west, we are already seeing signs of early spring from trout to snowberries. A new forecast by collaborator Toby Ault also calls for a early spring in the west, late in the east.